Radicalisation

Shaping a techno-democratic future
One of the most pressing national security challenges that Australia, the United States, and other like-minded partners face in the Indo-Pacific is...

Navigating a geoeconomic minefield: lessons from Taiwan
The escalation of US-China rivalry has normalised the use of economic means for the pursuit of security goals, with far ranging...

Mutual distrust: fostering cooperation in tech competition
In the last few years, the world has witnessed the technological cooperation and competition that defines the virtues of global innovation which may...

Trends in Indo-Pacific regional multilateralism: Scenarios for ASEAN
Longstanding debates about the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) often revolve around the organisation’s importance and value to...

Partial-freedom in a protectionist economy
This article is part of the Futures Forecasting series. We’ve asked experts to identify crucial trends – from a shortlist of categories – that...

Technological determinism
Do we determine the influence of technology in society or does technology shape us in ways that we don’t anticipate? With technology — and...

A competitive post-carbon world
This article is part of the Futures Forecasting series. We’ve asked experts to identify crucial trends – from a shortlist of categories – that...

Interconnectivity and crisis contagion
Politics will be inward looking and authoritarian, but the global economy will remain deeply interconnected with crises likely to cascade...

The splintering of digital democracy
As younger generations enter the digital world, they are gravitating less to the “traditional” platforms — such as Facebook — and...

A path to climate consensus
Staring down the risk of mutually assured climate-destruction, and increasingly dissatisfied populations, by 2035 the world will experience a...

Liberia: the canary in the social media coal mine?
To understand how the toxic information ecosystems of the future will inflame political divides and undermine democracy, Prue Clarke looks to how a...

The laundering of crazy and the future of democracy
Reduction in professional journalism in the digital age allows alternative truths and paranoid theories to take hold. What this means for the future...

Instability in the Middle East
Whilst the regions authoritarian leaders are likely to use COVID-19 as cover for increased control, environmental impacts are likely to cause greater...

Network competition and the threat to liberal democracies
New technologies will become an element of geopolitical and social tension as society and industry adopt platforms outside of the view and reach of...

Citizen decision-making in a contested information environment
Until people can tangibly understand and conceptualise how influences on their decision-making at a micro level occurs, their ability to comprehend...

Politics across the globe: a scenario
Social and technology trends will ensure that political governance will become more chaotic and dramatic, yet this need not result in poor governance...

The Futures Forecasting series
The goal of our Futures Forecasting series is to publish a range of plausible and realistic scenarios, based on current trends, that challenge our...

Why reducing global vulnerability is paramount
Without a shift from current trends that focus vulnerability on segments of society, the impact of conflating natural hazards will overwhelm the...

The coming era of big government
We are entering an era of ‘big government’ — governments around the world will have more power and control over markets and...

Australia faces a struggling Southeast Asia
Economic growth in Southeast Asia will taper off, regional integration will stagnate, and governments will move closer to...

The problem of hedonic adaption
The problem of hedonic adaption must be confronted, because not doing so will see democracy at risk of being replaced by technocracy in...

Asia’s increasingly volatile role in international order
Asia will go from being a global centre of economic growth and political stability, to a centre of economic power but political instability....